Bitget UEX reported that the operation against Iraq was coming to an end; that oil prices had soared when Iran fired on merchant ships; and that the price of the Oracle dollar had soared (12.03.26)

I. Hot spots

Federal Reserve Developments

UNITED STATES FEBRUARY CPI DATA ARE IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS AND CORE CPI ANNUAL RATES ARE DOWN TO FIVE YEARS LOW

• IN THE UNITED STATES, THE CPI ROSE 2.4 PER CENT IN FEBRUARY, AT THE SAME LEVEL AS LAST MONTH AND IN LINE WITH MARKET EXPECTATIONS, WHILE THE CORE CPI INCREASED BY 2.5 PER CENT。
• The core indicators for the elimination of food and energy show a decrease in inflationary pressures and a steady increase of around 0.3 per cent in the ring。
• This data reinforces the Fed ' s expectation of a lower interest rate, but if the Middle East conflict pushes up energy prices, it may slow down the pace of policy easing and increase US equity volatility or growth in the short term。

Major international commodities

International Energy Agency member countries released 400 million barrels of oil reserves, the largest ever

• THIRTY-TWO MEMBER STATES AGREED TO RELEASE 400 MILLION BARRELS OF EMERGENCY RESERVES IN RESPONSE TO THE CONFLICT IN THE MIDDLE EAST, THE SIXTH COORDINATED ACTION IN THE HISTORY OF IEA。
• The United States released 172 million barrels, followed by countries such as Japan, with a total of about four days of global oil demand。
• This is intended to ease the soaring pressure on oil prices, but if conflict persists, the risk of supply disruption remains high and the stability of global energy markets is tested。

Iran fired warning oil prices at $200 per barrel

• The Iranian army attacked merchant ships in the Gulf and the Revolutionary Guards claimed to have caused confusion in international shipping in response to insubordination。
• WTI CRUDE OIL EXCEEDED $94 PER BARREL AND BRENT EXCEEDED $98 PER BARREL, INCREASING BY MORE THAN 8 PER CENT IN THE DAY。
• The war has killed some 2,000 people, the Strait of Hormuz has nearly stalled shipping, oil prices have risen or increased global inflation, and economic growth has been undermined。

Macroeconomic policy

Trump says the military operations against Iran are coming to an end

• Trump stated that targets in Iran were nearly exhausted and that the United States-Iraq operation was nearing its end, but that, according to United States officials, there were no cessation orders and no time limits。
• The President of Iran proposed three conditions for ending the war: recognition of Iran ' s rights, compensation for war losses, and international guarantees against aggression。
• During the first six days of the conflict, the United States military spent more than $11.3 billion, and geo-risk relief or boosted market sentiment, but uncertainty remained。

301 U.S. survey of 16 trading partners

• A survey of 16 partners, such as the EU, India, Japan and the Republic of Korea, was launched to apply tariff pressure。
• It is also planned to investigate the prohibition of the import of goods for forced labour, covering at least 60 countries, the future or expansion of areas such as digital taxes, drug pricing, etc。
• This, or renewed trade friction, affects global supply chain stability, and markets need to be alert to the volatility associated with the rebuilding of supply chains。

United States regulators plan to liberalize bank capital requirements

• NEW CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS ARE PROPOSED TO ENCOURAGE CREDIT LENDING, INCLUDING THE BASEL III REVISION, ALLOWING MEDIUM-SIZED BANKS TO CALCULATE CAPITAL USING STANDARDIZED METHODS。
• Vice-President Bowman of the Fed said the revised version was launched at the end of March。
• This policy is designed to stimulate economic growth, provided that the risks of financial stability are balanced or that the performance of the banks is facilitated。

Market revisiting

large commodities & foreign exchange performance

• Cash goldThis represents a decrease of 0.39 per cent and a two-day rollback of $5159.38 per ounce reported, which was affected by the strengthening of the dollar and the recovery of risk。
• Cash and silver: $85.47 per ounce, down 0.08 per cent, with less volatility, industrial demand-backed but inflation expected to moderate pressure。
• WTI CRUDE OIL: $93.48/barrel, 7.14 per cent increase, driven by concerns about the Iranian attack on merchant ships and supply disruptions。
• Brent crude oilThis represents an increase of 6.46 per cent and an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East pushes up the price of the subsurface premium。
• United States dollar index99.41, an increase of 0.14 per cent, and the strengthening of the United States dollar supported by a surge in risk avoidance requirements and oil prices。

Encryption Currency Performance

• BTC: 24H INCREASED BY 0.37 PER CENT, CURRENTLY ABOUT $70,222 AND THE SITUATION IN THE MIDDLE EAST SHOWED SIGNS OF A DECREASE IN THE FLOW OF FUNDS, WITH ANALYSTS CLAIMING TO HAVE PASSED THE OIL PRICE FLUCTUATIONS STRESS TEST。
• ETH24H BY 1.07 PER CENT AND CURRENTLY APPROXIMATELY $2055。
• Total market value of encrypted currency24H INCREASED BY 0.3 PER CENT AND THE TOTAL MARKET VALUE WAS $2.47 TRILLION。
• Market warehouse situation: 24H TOTALLING $177 MILLION, MORE THAN $74 MILLION AND $102 MILLION。

• Bitget BTC/USDT liquidation map:

  The cumulative liquidation amount of 63.55 m above current price 70190 is well above the cumulative high of 32.53 m below, which, if price rises, could trigger large-scale squeezing. The leverage clusters, in particular 50x and 100x, are concentrated on key price levels such as 71000-72000 and 73,000-74,000-74,000, which may magnify volatility and cascade clearing effects, while the current BTC overload ratio of Bitget is about 48.54 per cent, or 51.46 per cent, indicating the potential risk of up-and-up squeezing of light-looking mood support。

• NET INCOMING/OUTWARD SPOT ETFON 10 MARCH, THE BTC SPOT ETF RECEIVED A NET INFLOW OF $246 MILLION; THE ETH SPOT ETF RECEIVED A NET INFLOW OF $12.6 MILLION。
• BTC CASH INFLOWS/EXIT: YESTERDAY, BTC CASH INFLOWS AMOUNTED TO $2,721 MILLION, OUTFLOWS TO $2,644 MILLION AND NET INFLOWS TO ABOUT $77 MILLION。

United States equity index performance

• FingerThe drop of 0.61 per cent was reported at 47417.27 points and went down for two consecutive days, dragging the energy sector down by geo-conflict and rising oil prices。
• Pistol 500(b) A decline of 0.08 per cent in the reporting of 6775.80 points, with limited fluctuations, and with the support of the technology unit but overall pressure。
• Nut finger• A 0.08 PER CENT INCREASE OF 22716.13 POINTS, DRIVEN BY THE STORAGE AND AI CONCEPT UNIT AND A TECHNOLOGY BLOCK-DRIVEN REBOUND。

Technology giant dynamics

• Young Wai Da: 0.68 PER CENT INCREASE OF APPROXIMATELY $186.03 AND DEMAND FOR AI CHIPS CONTINUES TO BE STRONGLY SUPPORTED。
• AppleA drop of 0.01 per cent was reported at approximately $260.8, and the product cycle was reduced in impact。
• GoogleThe increase of 0.54 per cent is estimated at $308.7 and the increase in cloud operations is boosted。
• MicrosoftDecline of 0.22 per cent of approximately $404.88, with minor adjustments under market fluctuations。
• AmazonA drop of 0.78 per cent was reported at approximately $212.65, and retail competition increased pressure。
• MetaA 0.12 PER CENT INCREASE OF APPROXIMATELY $654.86 WAS REPORTED AND THE NEW AI CHIP WAS WELL DEVELOPED。
• TeslaA 2.1 per cent increase of $407.82 was reported, and sales data from China were more than expected。

THE OVERALL RISE AND FALL OF THE TECHNOLOGY GIANTS IS LARGELY INFLUENCED BY AI AND GEO-GEOGRAPHIC FACTORS, WITH THE ORACLE FINANCIALS EXCEEDINGLY EXPECTED BRIGHT SPOTS。

Plank Instant Observation

Oil and gas platesAbout 3% increase

• Representation of units: oil in the West increased by 4.63 per cent and Chevron by 2.95 per cent。
• Drivers: Iranian attacks on merchant ships pushed up oil prices and supply disruptions stimulated the rise of energy units。

Storage Concept BlockAbout 3% increase

• Representation of the Unit: 3.86 per cent increase in light technology and 5.9 per cent increase in flash。
• DRIVER: AI CALCULATES GROWTH IN DEMAND AND SUPPLY CHAIN OPTIMISM IS UNDERPINNED。

Gold Block2% drop

• Representing units: Harmoni gold fell by 10.98 per cent and Newman mining by 2.26 per cent。
• Drivers: strong dollar and improved risk sentiment, weakening risk avoidance needs。

III. Depth interpretation

ORACLE - FINANCIAL OVER-EXPECTED SURGE IN AI ORDERS

Summary of events: ORACLE ANNOUNCED $17.2 BILLION FOR THE 2026 FISCAL YEAR Q3 BATTALION, WHICH REPRESENTS A 22 PER CENT INCREASE OVER THE PREVIOUS YEAR OF $16.9 BILLION; THE ADJUSTED EPS ($1.79) IS WELL ABOVE THE PROJECTED $1.23. THE REMAINING PERFORMANCE OBLIGATIONS AMOUNTED TO $553.0 BILLION, AN INCREASE OF 325 PER CENT OVER THE SAME PERIOD, MAINLY DUE TO LARGE AI CONTRACTS. NO ADDITIONAL FINANCING IS REQUIRED TO SUPPORT THE CONTRACT AND THE CUSTOMER PREPAID OR SELF-FINANCED THE GPU。Market interpretation: THE AGENCY CONSIDERS AI DEMAND-DRIVEN GROWTH ENGINES, AND THE SURGE IN RESIDUAL OBLIGATIONS REFLECTS STRONG LONG-TERM ORDERS, WITH GOLDMAN SACHS INCREASING THE TARGET PRICE TO $180 TO MAINTAIN THE BUY-IN RATING。Investment revelationUNDER THE WAVE OF AI, CLOUD COMPUTING GIANTS HAVE BENEFITED SIGNIFICANTLY, WITH SHORT-TERM EQUITY PRICES OR CONTINUED STRENGTH。

Tesla - China surged 91% in February

Summary of eventsIn February, 58,600 electric vehicles were sold in Tesla, representing an increase of 91 per cent over the same period and an increase of four consecutive months; while the ring-to-ring ratio fell by 15.2 per cent, the seasonal impact was offset by a low base effect. The Shanghai factory Model 3/Y delivery covered the export market。Market interpretationMorgan Stanley claims that sales were higher than expected throughout the year, raising the target price to $450, highlighting the key to the recovery of the Chinese market。Investment revelation: The demand for electric cars warms up the supply chain and focuses on export dynamics to avoid trade risks。

Meta - Propulsion of the MTIA chip route Figure

Summary of eventsMeta developed four new AI chips to support GenAI and content ranking; MTIA 300 is in production and will be rolled out by 400/450/500 to 2027 to improve application efficiency。Market interpretation: Citi Analyst sees less reliance on self-study chips, with an upward adjustment of the target price to $600, which is described as enhancing competitive advantage。Investment revelation: ACCELERATING INVESTMENT IN AI INFRASTRUCTURE AND THE LONG-TERM GROWTH POTENTIAL OF PLATFORM COMPANIES。

4. Hims & Hers Health - Co-operative and Nord selling diet medicine

Summary of eventsHims excavated for public relations executives, and Uno and Nord sold obesity drugs on the platform, a 64 per cent increase this week。Market interpretationThis is seen by the agency as a new battleground for brand medicine, with an upward adjustment of the target price to $30, and an expected diversification。Investment revelationHealth technology integrated pharmaceuticals, short-term hot spots or higher valuations。

IV. Developments in encryption money projects

1. Bitcoin Treasury Listed Company Strive announced an upward adjustment of its SATA priority dividends by 25 basis points to 12.75 per cent, and narrowed the price range from US$ 95-105 to US$ 99-101. The company increased the holding stock of bitcoin to 13,311 (the previous January disclosed data of 131,31.82) and purchased $50 million of Strategy ' s priority stock for sustainability (currently 11.5 per cent)。

2. Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist in Bloomberg intelligence, reiterated his view that bitcoin might fall below $10,000, arguing that the encryption market was still in the process of macro-driven long-term adjustment. McGlone noted that as institutional participation increased, bitcoin became more dynamic with speculative assets, weakening its function as an unconnected hedge tool in traditional markets, which now had to undergo an over-speculation process. This was refuted by several analysts。

3. The value of the 24H transaction for the Hyperliquid oil-related sustainable contract was nearly $1 billion, and the platform token HYPE increased by 6 per cent as a result of the Iranian conflict。

4. Solana AI agents and RWA applications have expanded ecologically, trading speed and low cost to attract developers, and new projects within 24H have surged。

5. The Japanese listed company Metaplanet announced the establishment of two subsidiaries. Of these, Metaplanet Ventures will invest in the Japanese Bitcoin ecosystem with a planned investment of 4 billion yen over the next few years to support companies that build the Bitcoin financial infrastructure in Japan, covering areas such as borrowing, settlement, trusteeship, currency stabilization, derivatives and compliance. Another subsidiary, Metaplanet Assembly Management, will be established in Miami as a digital credit and Bitcoin capital market platform, connecting Asian and Western capital markets and planning to develop revenue, equity, credit and volatility strategies。

6. Bitget officially publishes GetClaw, which allows users to initiate direct access without local deployment or technical background by fully migrating the operating environment of the intelligent to the cloud. Previously, the use of AI transactions Agent usually required users to have a certain technical capability or to complete a cumbersome local configuration. GetClaw eliminates this barrier through cloud-based structures and further lowers the threshold for the use of AI trading tools。

7. According to Arkham, yesterday, USDC distributor USDC Treasury added 250 million castings to the Solana block chain. In addition, since early February, Circe has added more than 8 billion USDCs to its circulation supply。

V. Today ' s market calendar

Data release schedules

The big news

Institutional perspective:

PROMINENT INVESTMENT BANK ANALYSTS ARE CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE 24H MARKET. GOLDMAN SACHS STRESSED THAT WHILE THE MIDDLE EAST SHOWED SIGNS OF DE-ESCALATION IN THE CONFLICT BOOSTED THE STOCK MARKET, OIL PRICES SURGED OR INCREASED INFLATION, SUGGESTING THAT ENERGY SHARES BE INCREASED AND SPREAD TO AI-TECHNOLOGY. MORGAN STANLEY POINTED OUT THAT THE ENCRYPTED CURRENCY WAS SUBJECT TO GEO-PRESSURE TESTS AND THAT THE BTC WAS STILL VALUABLE AS A DIVERSIFIED ASSET AND, ALTHOUGH ITS RELEVANCE TO THE STOCK MARKET HAD RISEN TO 0.5, ONLY 25 PER CENT OF PRICE CHANGES HAD BEEN EXPLAINED AND THE TOTAL MARKET VALUE WAS EXPECTED TO BE STABLE AT $2.5 TRILLION. ON THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE SIDE, THE INCREASE OF 0.63 PER CENT IN THE CITITIME UNITED STATES DOLLAR INDEX WAS DRIVEN BY RISK AVOIDANCE, BUT IF THE FED REDUCES INTEREST RATES, THE DOLLAR OR THE CHARGE GOES DOWN. IN THE AREA OF COMMODITIES, BARCLAY WARNED OF SHORT-TERM ADJUSTMENTS IN GOLD AND SILVER PRICES, WITH GEO-PRIMES SUPPORTING GOLD PRICES CHALLENGING $5,300 PER OUNCE; HIGH UPSIDE RISK OF CRUDE OIL, BRENT, OR TESTING AT $100. OVERALL, ANALYSTS SUGGESTED FOCUSING ON POLICY EASING AND GEO-BALANCING, PRIORITIZING A MIX OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY AND ENERGY DEFENCE。

DISCLAIMER: THE ABOVE IS COLLATED BY AI, MANUALLY ISSUED ONLY FOR VALIDATION AND IS NOT RECOMMENDED FOR INVESTMENT。