Da Xian says the coin is 12.10 bitcoin is up 94,000, and can the Fed reduce interest rates in the morning
As the performance of Bitcoin deteriorated significantly in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the upward trend stalled, the slag significantly reduced the multi-year price projections for Bitcoin. The bank substantially reduced the price target of Bitcoin at the end of 2025 from $200,000 to $100,000. Meanwhile, while a long-term increase in bitcoin could eventually reach $500,000, the period has been postponed from 2028 to 2030。
At the same time, the United States Monetary Supervisory Authority, which officially issued Explanatory Letter No. 1188 on 9 September, explicitly confirming that national banks could legally engage in risk-free principal transactions for encrypted assets under certain conditions, was inspired by the news that bitcoin had risen rapidly to over $94,000, and that it had soared in parallel with the Taifung factory, with an amount of $3,300. However, it is noteworthy that today, Beijing time, 21:30, the third-quarter labor cost index of the United States, and the December interest rate resolution, published at 3 a.m. overnight, are about to be released. Current market data show that interest rates ranging from 25 basis points to 3.75 per cent in December will be reduced by 89.8 per cent, followed by a monetary policy press conference at 3:30 p.m. by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, who will be alert to fluctuations in key data。
Bitcoin, four hours
Current prices convulsed between 0.382 and 0.236 on the Fibonacci switch line, which is a typical strong backlash. It was before bursting to 94589 and then backsliding in the vicinity of 0.382, about 90495, supported and re-raised, and it became clear that the purchase was strong. As long as it does not break the 0.5 position, about 89127, the rising structure will remain intact。
The middle track of the Bryn strip continues upwards, and the price of bitcoin is above the middle track, a sign of multiple trends. Prices are now being pushed on the right track and are in the precipitating phase. It is important not to break the middle track, otherwise the trend may be weaker。
IT IS CRITICAL THAT THE MACD HIGHS, THOUGH FALLING, ARE NOT DEAD AND THAT THEY BREAK THE ZERO AXIS. THE REDUCTION OF THE MACD COLUMN FIGURE INDICATES THAT THERE IS NO CONTINUOUS ACTIVITY AT THE EMPTY HEAD AND THAT DIF AND DEA ARE ENTANGLED ABOVE THE ZERO AXIS, IMPLYING THAT MULTIPLE STRUCTURES ARE STILL IN PLACE. AS LONG AS THE MCD DOES NOT HAVE A DEAD END, THE TREND IS QUITE HIGH。
KDJ IS NOW STARTING TO TURN DOWN IN THE LOW, WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF GOLD FORK. BOTH K AND D VALUES ARE BELOW 50, AND IF J-LINE CAN PULL UP QUICKLY, THE SHORT-LINE REBOUND IS NOT TOO SMALL. THIS INDICATOR MAINLY POINTS TO SHORT-LINE MOVEMENTS。
The Fed’s December interest rate reduction conference was the central driver. The market generally expected the conference to send a drop-off signal, with bitcoin as a liquid asset, which was expected to strengthen the usual currency prices. It is likely that the main force is waiting for this detonation point to adjust for early shock。
IN A COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS, BITCOIN IS NOW IN THE MIDDLE OF THE FIBONACCI POWER ZONE, THE MACD IS MULTI-STRUCTURED, KDJ IS PREPARING A REBOUND, AND THE BRINK BELT IS STILL IN MANY DIRECTIONS. INCREASED AND REDUCED INTEREST RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO MOVE UP. DA XIAN THINKS IT'S VERY LIKELY TO HIT BETWEEN 94,500 AND 96,000. THE KEY IS NOT TO BREAK DOWN 89100, WHICH IS THE TREND POINT。
Operationally, the upper pressure levels look at 94,500 and 96,000, the bottom is strong at 90,500, the trend is strong at 89100. As long as you don't break 89100, you'll see more. The current situation is easy to wash and not to be blown out。
I'll give you a 100% advice, and I'll give you the right idea and the right trend
