The six mysterious accounts made $1.2 million on the 71 minutes before the strike
These accounts were registered in February, most of them were first fully charged within 24 hours of the attack, and no other transactions were recorded, and their behaviour was highly consistent with insider trading。
Original title: Pre 71 Minutes Excerpt! Six mystical accounts bet 1.2 million on Iran's air strike
Published by Dong Jing
The news of a military strike by the United States against Iran shocked the global market, but before the explosion, it was predicted that the market had been set in motion。
According to Bubblemaps, the six suspected inside accounts on the Polymarket platform were placed "yes" hours before the United States air strike in Iran, with a total gain of approximately $1.2 million. These accounts were registered in February, most of the wallets were filled within 24 hours of the attack and there were no transactions other than the above-mentioned bets。
THE EVENT RAISED STRONG MARKET CONCERNS ABOUT REGULATORY GAPS IN PREDICTING PLATFORMS. AT THE SAME TIME, THE UNITED STATES COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION (CFTC) WARNED JUST LAST WEEK ABOUT THE PREDICTION OF INSIDER TRADING IN THE MARKET, AND REGULATORY PRESSURE IS RISING。
According to Wall Street news articles, on February 28, the United States and Israel launched a massive joint military strike against Iran. According to press reports, Trump posted a video on the "real socialization" platform that day confirming that the United States forces had launched "a major combat operation" against Iran and shouting to Tehran that "the operation will be completed and your government will be taken over."。
After the news was made public, Bitcoin prices fell, while oil futures on the Hyperliquid platform were high owing to the anticipated escalation of regional conflicts. Since December last year, the cumulative volume of transactions in this contract market, which was close to $9 million on February 28, has exceeded $529 million around the US’s anti-Iranian date-related contract market, demonstrating the market’s high interest in this geopolitical event。
Six-Account is accurate, profiting $1.2 million
According to the analysis published by Bubblemaps on social platform X, six Polymarket accounts centrally buy "yes" shares in the contract market "Is the United States hit Iran before February 28, 2026" and make a total profit of approximately $1.2 million after the market is settled at $1。
One account buys more than 560,000 "yes" shares at about 10.8 cents a unit price and eventually earns nearly $560,000; the other accounts buys almost 150,000 at 20 cents, and records the same six-digit gain。
The visual mapping published by Bubblemaps shows a clear correlation between the six wallets and a high degree of similarity in the source of funding。
The above accounts were created in February, most of them were completed within 24 hours of the attack, and there were no transactions other than this bet in the history of the account. This pattern of behaviour is highly consistent with typical insider trading characteristics。
Mike Levin also posted on social platform X that of the six accounts mentioned above, a Polymarket account called “Magamyman” had a profit of $515 million a day, with the first transaction taking place 71 minutes before the relevant news was made public。
At that time, the market price for the probability of the United States hitting Iran was only 17 per cent. The account entered at approximately $87,000 and earned more than $0.5 million overnight。
It is worth noting that Mike Levin also stated in his post that Donald Trump Jr., Jr., is currently a member of the Polymarket Advisory Board, which invested tens of millions of dollars in the platform last year。
In addition, both the United States Department of Justice and CFTC had previously investigated Polymark, but the investigation was dropped after Trump took office. He called on interested parties to explain the matter and promote transparency and regulatory follow-up。
Regulatory pressure rises and predicts the emergence of market trade problems
This is the first time that the events have taken placeU.S. regulators are increasing their scrutiny of predicting insider trading。
Polymarket's rival platform, Kalshi, announced this week that two users suspected of insider trading had been suspended and punished, one of whom was a visualized editor of the "Beast Games" programme under the banner of MrBeast, who was accused of trading with non-public information about the results of the programme, was banned for two years and fined more than $20,000; another case involved a political candidate who was betted on an electoral contract for his own election。
According to Kalshi, the platform has investigated some 200 cases and more than 10 remain active。
The CFTC then issued an announcement warning that an insider transaction on the incident contract might violate United States law, and President Mike Selig positioned the trading market as the first line of defense。
At the same time, the problem of insider trading on the Polymark platform was not the first time. The block chain investigator, ZachXBT, announced last week that an investigation into an encrypted platform would be published, prompting speculation on the market and prompting the creation of a Polymarket contract to bet on which company will be named。
According to Lokonchain, 12 wallets had been betted on Axiom before the results of the investigation were made public, and employees of the company were accused of using non-public information to carry out transactions。
