Bitget UEX Daily Zenner points to a record of ten yangs approaching; semiconductor cattle stock rises in innovation; and Asmai publishes a financial paper today (15/04/2000)

I. Hot spots

Federal Reserve Developments

The Chairman of the Federal Reserve's Nominator Walsh hearing will take place in the 21st

• The former Federal Reserve Commissioner, Kevin Walsh, nominated by Trump, has submitted financial disclosure documents showing that his assets exceed $100 million; and the Senate Banking Commission Chief Republican Confirmation Hearing will take place next week (21 days), focusing on price stability, inflation and the independence of the Fed。
• The Federal Reserve had previously stated that there was a deviation in its inflation judgement and that core inflation continued to decline, suggesting that higher interest rates were needed if data were to be clearer. Market impact: Investor expectations of the Fed ' s policy continuity and potential easing paths are further clarified, contributing to the recovery of risk asset pricing。
• US Federal Reserve Chairman Goulsby has stated that if the war in Iran leads to long-term high oil prices, thus slowing inflation back to the Fed’s target of 2 per cent, the Fed may need to wait until 2027 to reduce interest rates。

Major international commodities

The U.S.-Iraq ceasefire negotiations are optimistic about lowering oil prices

• Trump 14 stated that the war in Iran had “ended”, that the United States and Iran had initiated two weeks of negotiations and planned to hold follow-up talks in Pakistan; Vice-President Vance called the situation “optimistic”。
• Israel supported a ceasefire that did not include Lebanon, the Saudi pipeline resumed operations, and Iran considered suspending shipments from the Strait of Hormuz to advance dialogue. Market impact: A significant reduction in tail risk, a rekindling of risk, leading directly to a significant fall in crude oil futures while boosting the global stock market risk asset performance。

Macroeconomic policy

Becent: Customs level restored or restored by early July

• The Minister of Finance, Becent, indicated that the Supreme Court would authorize the re-establishment of the “tariff wall” through, inter alia, a 301 investigation, once it had ruled that the earlier customs duties were unconstitutional, and that the original level would be restored by early July。
• At the same time, he stressed the strong economic fundamentals of the United States, which was expected to grow by more than 3 per cent or even 3.5 per cent this year, and the decline in core inflation as a positive sign. Market impacts: Short-term trade frictions are expected to ease, but long-term tariff rebuilding signals still need to focus on the impact on business costs and supply chains。

Market revisiting

large commodities & foreign exchange performance

• Cash gold: Small fluctuations collected close to approximately $4830/ounce, maintaining a high-level shock upward trend overall。
• Cash and silverFollowing the movement of gold, steady above $79 per ounce, with relatively robust industrial demand supported。
• WTI CRUDE OIL: Down to about US$ 87/barrel, driven by optimistic expectations that the US-Iraq ceasefire negotiations would directly press down the energy risk premium。
• Brent crude oil: Synchronized down to around $95 per barrel。
• United States dollar index: A decline of about 0.03 per cent in the vicinity of approximately 98.131, and the return of risk tends to reduce the attractiveness of the United States dollar。

Encryption Currency Performance

• BTC24H INCREASED BY APPROXIMATELY 0.18 PER CENT, PRICES BY APPROXIMATELY $74,500 AND 4H-LINE SHOCKS INCREASED。
• ETH: 24H DROPPED BY ABOUT 1.5 PER CENT AND PRICES ABOUT $2,335。
• Total market value of encrypted currency24H ROSE BY ABOUT 0.2 PER CENT AND ITS TOTAL MARKET VALUE WAS ABOUT $2.6 TRILLION。
• Market warehouse situation: 24H HAS A TOTAL EXPLOSIVE WAREHOUSE OF APPROXIMATELY $433 MILLION, MULTIPLE SINGLE DETONATION OF ABOUT $200 MILLION, AIR SINGLE DETONATION OF ABOUT $230 MILLION AND A MORE BALANCED CLEARING OF LEVERAGE。
• Bitget BTC/USDT liquidation map: The current price (approximately 74534) is close to the multi-empty clearing line, and the cumulative liquidation of the upper empty head is significantly larger, meaning that once an increase is made it is easy to trigger a chain of empty silos. The bulk of the settlement area below is concentrated at 73,000 to 74,000, and if it falls, it will trigger multiple steps, making short-term prices more likely to be “strung” into high fluctuations in the zone。

• NET INCOMING/OUTWARD SPOT ETF: BTC SPOT ETF RECEIVED ABOUT $152 MILLION NET YESTERDAY; ETH SPOT ETF RECEIVED ABOUT $3.3 MILLION NET YESTERDAY。
• BTC SPOT INFLOW/EXIT: yesterday, some $3,325 million went in, $3.427 billion went out and $29 million went out。

United States equity index performance

• FingerThe increase of 0.66 per cent was reported as 48,535.99 points, with a continuous rebound but relatively moderate increase。
• Pistol 500· 1.18 per cent increase of 6,967.38 points, which is only one step from the historical highs。
• Nut finger1.96 per cent higher at 23,639.08 points, and the tenth consecutive trading day higher, with technology and semiconductor plates driving significantly。

Technology giant dynamics

• YVDA (NVDA): +3.78% ($196.51), QUANTUM AI RELEASE CONTINUES TO BE CATALYTIC。
• GOOGLE-A (GOOGL): +3.61 PER CENT ($332.91), AI APPLICATION EXPECTED SUPPORT。
• APPLE (AAPL):-0.14 per cent ($258.83), slightly adjusted but the overall science and technology landscape is positive。
• MICROSOFT (MSFT)+2.27 PER CENT ($393.11), CLOUD AND AI OPERATIONS ROBUST。
• AMAZON (AMZN): +3.81 per cent ($249.02), electricians working in tandem with cloud services。
• STATION ELECTRICITY (TSM): +2.79%, semiconductor supply chain demand warming。
• CHANNEL (AVGO): +0.27%, work with Meta customized chips to boost confidence
• Meta (META): +4.41% ($662.49), AI ACCELERATOR COOPERATION AGREEMENT LANDED。
• TESLA (TSLA)+3.34% ($364.20), OVERALL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIT EMOTIONAL. CORE REASONS: AI THEMATIC TRANSACTIONS ARE REVITALIZED AND GEO-RISK MITIGATION FURTHER MAGNIFIES THE EXPANSION OF THE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIT VALUATION。

Plank Instant Observation

Semiconductor and light communication panelOver 3%

• Representing units: Corent (COHR) High Innovation Report $313.42, KLA Corporation (KLAC) New High, $1795, Lam Research (LRCX) New High, $272。
• DRIVERS: THE DEMAND FOR AID DATA CENTRES IS STRONGLY COUPLED WITH THE QUANTUM AI MODEL STIMULUS AND THE INDUSTRY CHAIN IS STRONG。

Quantum calculation conceptOver 15%

• Representative units: SEALSQ +21.03%, IonQ +20.16%, D-Wave Quantum +15.84%。
• DRIVER: THE FIRST GLOBAL OPEN SOURCE QUANTUM AI MODEL IS LAUNCHED BY WEIDAR, WHICH DIRECTLY IGNITES MARKET ENTHUSIASM。

III. Depth interpretation

1. In Weida - Market value increased by $761.5 billion over 10 days

Summary of eventsAFTER CLOSING ON TUESDAY, YEN WEIDAR RECEIVED TEN CONSECUTIVE YANGS, THE LONGEST RECORDED INCREASE SINCE 2023, WITH A CUMULATIVE INCREASE OF OVER 18 PER CENT OVER 10 DAYS, CORRESPONDING TO AN INCREASE IN THE MARKET VALUE OF APPROXIMATELY $761.5 BILLION (APPROXIMATELY $5.19 TRILLION RMB). AT THE SAME TIME, THE COMPANY OFFICIALLY RELEASED ITS FIRST GLOBAL OPEN-SOURCE QUANTUM ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE MODEL, MARKING ANOTHER STEP FORWARD IN ITS TECHNICAL LAYOUT IN THE CROSS-CUTTING AREA OF AI AND QUANTUM COMPUTING. THE OPEN-SOURCE PROPERTIES OF THE MODEL ARE EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE INDUSTRIAL ECOLOGICAL CONSTRUCTION AND FURTHER CONSOLIDATE THE ABSOLUTE DOMINANCE OF BRITAIN IN COMPUTING INFRASTRUCTURE。Market interpretation: THE AGENCY GENERALLY SEES THE LONG-STANDING MONOPOLY ADVANTAGE OF THE COMPTOIR IN THE CROSS-CUTTING FIELD OF AI AND QUANTUM COMPUTING AS A MILESTONE EVENT THAT NOT ONLY VALIDATES THE DEPTH OF ITS TECHNOLOGICAL MOAT, BUT THAT WILL DRIVE THE EXPLOSIVE GROWTH OF AI TRAINING AND REASONING NEEDS OVER THE NEXT FEW YEARS, AND THAT THE VALUATION EXPANSION LOGIC CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN IN THE CURRENT CONTEXT OF SUBDUED GEOMETRY AND RISK PREFERENCE WARMING。Investment revelation: AS THE CORE OF AI INFRASTRUCTURE, YOUNG WEIDAR REMAINS THE STRONGEST IN TECHNOLOGY AND CATTLE. INVESTORS CAN FOCUS ON STRATEGIC ALLOCATION OPPORTUNITIES IN RESPONSE, ESPECIALLY IN THE CONTEXT OF ACCELERATED QUANTUM AI APPLICATION, WHERE THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG-TERM COMPOSITE GROWTH REMAINS SIGNIFICANT。

2. Meta Platforms - Working with Chase to build a JW custom core Snippets

Summary of events: Meta Platforms announced a comprehensive agreement with Chase to extend their cooperation in the design of the Meta self-study AI accelerator and to plan a joint project to customize the chip to meet the huge computing needs of the next generation of AI training and reasoning. This collaboration stems from the strategic transformation of Meta to accelerate the self-sufficiency of AI infrastructure and reflects the trend of the technology giants to increase their internal R&D inputs in order to reduce dependence on external suppliers。Market interpretation: According to Wall Street analysts, this marked a completely new phase in the AI capital expenditure cycle, and the accelerated self-study of chip layouts by technology giants will not only optimize the cost structure, but will also lead to a significant increase in order visibility in the upstream semiconductor supply chain. Many investment banks have raised the price of the target and have emphasized that large AI inputs from platforms such as Meta will be an important support for semiconductor demand。Investment revelationThe AI capital expenditure cycle is still on the way, and self-study inputs by giants such as Meta will lead to long-term multi-chain growth. Investors should focus on tracking progress in the implementation of similar cooperative projects to capture the structural opportunities of the AI hardware ecology。

3. Access (AVGO) - Work with Meta to expand the AI customized chip project

Summary of events: In a comprehensive cooperation agreement with Meta Platforms, Chase will further deepen its cooperation in the design of the AAccelerator and jointly advance the 1 GW customized chip project. The project, which aims to provide efficient arithmetical support for the next generation of AI training and reasoning in Meta, is one of the largest commercial landing cases in recent years in the field of customizing AI chips. This expansion has further highlighted its critical position in the AI semiconductor supply chain。Market interpretation: THE INSTITUTIONAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT CHASE, WITH ITS TECHNICAL ADVANTAGES IN THE AREA OF CUSTOMIZATION OF ASIC, IS TRANSITIONING FROM TRADITIONAL SEMICONDUCTOR SUPPLIERS TO THE AI INFRASTRUCTURE CORE PLATFORM. ACCORDING TO A NUMBER OF INVESTMENT BANKS, THIS COOPERATION NOT ONLY ENHANCES THE CERTAINTY OF CHASE ' S ORDERS, BUT ALSO INSTILS CONFIDENCE IN THE ENTIRE AI CHIP ECOLOGY, ESPECIALLY IN MACRO-LEVEL ENVIRONMENTS WHERE GEO-RISK MITIGATION AND GLOBAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURE IS WARMING, WHERE IT IS SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN THE INDUSTRY AVERAGE。Investment revelation: AS THE LEADER IN THE AI CUSTOM CHIP FIELD, THE BINDING OF CHASE TO THE GIANT PLATFORM WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE PERFORMANCE BEYOND EXPECTATIONS. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT INVESTORS VIEW THIS AS THE CORE ALLOCATION OF THE SEMICONDUCTOR PLATE, FOCUSING ON THE VALUATION OPPORTUNITIES ARISING FROM THE DOWN-TO-GROUND PACE OF AI CAPITAL EXPENDITURE。

ASMEH (ASML) - FOCUS OF TODAY ' S FINANCIAL REPORT

Summary of events: AS A GLOBAL BACKBONE OF SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT, ASMACK WILL ISSUE QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE REPORTS TODAY, WITH A HIGH LEVEL OF MARKET INTEREST IN ITS EUV OPTIC ORDER AND UP-TO-DATE GUIDANCE ON THE DEMAND FOR AI CHIPS. PREVIOUSLY, ASMA HAD BENEFITED FROM STRONG GROWTH IN AI-DRIVEN HIGH-END PROCESS DEMAND, AND THE PRESENT FINANCIAL REPORT WILL BE AN IMPORTANT WINDOW TO VALIDATE THE RESILIENCE OF THE SEMICONDUCTOR CYCLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE CURRENT CONTEXT OF GEO-MITIGATION TO MITIGATE SUPPLY CHAIN UNCERTAINTY。Market interpretation: ANALYSTS GENERALLY EXPECT STRONG ORDERS TO FURTHER VALIDATE THE SUSTAINABILITY OF AI CAPITAL SPENDING, MULTIPLE INVESTMENT BANKS MAINTAIN BUY-IN RATINGS AND RAISE TARGET PRICES, AND BELIEVE THAT THE TECHNICAL BARRIERS IN THE AREA OF ADVANCED PRODUCTION EQUIPMENT IN ASMA WILL ALLOW THEM TO BENEFIT FULLY FROM THE WAVE OF GLOBAL CHIP MANUFACTURERS. DECLINING GEO-RISKS ALSO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FOR SUPPLY CHAIN STABILITY。Investment revelation: SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT LANDSCAPE DIRECTLY MAPS THE STRENGTH OF AI CAPITAL SPENDING, AND ASMEH REMAINS THE CENTRAL INDICATOR UPSTREAM OF GLOBAL CHIP PRODUCTION. INVESTORS COULD USE THE PRESENT FINANCIAL REPORT AS A KEY REFERENCE FOR JUDGING THE LONG-TERM GROWTH OF THE STRATEGIC LAYOUT OF SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT BLOCKS AT THE TURN OF THE INDUSTRY。

IV. Developments in encryption money projects

1. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart disclosed on platform X and 21 Shares has updated its application file for Hyperliquid ETF, to be coded THYP。

Bitcoin briefly breached the critical resistance position of $76,000 last night, falling back near $74,000, failing to achieve an effective breakthrough that lasted for more than two months. According to Vetle Lunde, the research manager for K33 Research, Bitcoin's long-term contract funding rate has been negative for 11 consecutive cycles and, despite recent price rebounds, traders tend to fall, indicating that the market remains in a position to fall even as prices rise. At the same time, the continuing rise in the unsettled contract indicates that the new empty position is increasing rather than levelling。

3 Goldman Sachs has submitted an application for Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. The purpose of the Fund is to retain the value added potential of capital resulting from higher prices of bitcoin while reaping current gains。

In its latest report, Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, and Ryan Rasmussen, research director, stated that since the United States air strike against Iran on 28 February, the price of Bitcoin had increased by about 12 per cent, while the scale 500 had fallen by about 1 per cent and gold by about 10 per cent over the same period. Bitwise believes that Bitcoin's strength stems from the fragmentation of the global financial system and the “weaponization” of the payment infrastructure, rather than from geohazard risks. The Agency positioned Bitcoin as an asset with both a “value storage” and an “international settlement currency” and noted that, against the background of Iran's exposure to the willingness to accept bitcoin for part of the oil shipment-related payments, the value of its “settlement currency” options had been increased, or $1 million in the long-term valuation should be considered a possible base price rather than a ceiling。

Rakuten Wallet announced that XRP is online as a spot transaction and a payment for assets, that users can exchange XRPs directly with their musical credits, and that they can use Rakuten Cash/Pay for daily consumption in Japan. This integration will cover about 44 million users, cumulative over 3 trillion points (approximately $23 billion) and more than 5 million businesses' electricity and payment networks。

V. Today ' s market calendar

Data release schedules

The big news

Institutional perspective:

A WELL-KNOWN INVESTMENT BANK ANALYST IS GENERALLY OF THE VIEW THAT THE RAPID DE-ESCALATION OF GEOGRAPHICAL TENSIONS HAS BECOME THE STRONGEST CATALYST IN THE CURRENT MARKET AND THAT A SIGNIFICANT DECLINE IN TAIL RISKS DIRECTLY CONTRIBUTES TO THE OVERALL RECOVERY OF RISK PREFERENCES. MORGAN STANLEY’S STRATEGIST NOTED THAT EVERY POSITIVE NEWS OF PROGRESS IN THE NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN THE US AND IRAN SHOWED TRADERS THE CERTAINTY THAT “WAR WILL NOT SHOCK THE ECONOMY IN ITS ENTIRETY” AND THAT THE FOLDING OF THE FED’S POTENTIAL EASING EXPECTATIONS HAS BROUGHT THE STANDARD 500 TO A NEW HEIGHT IN HISTORY, AND THAT IT IS A DIRECT REFLECTION OF THE RECOVERY OF THE TECHNOLOGY UNIT. GOLDMAN SACHS, FOR ITS PART, STRESSED THAT THE FALL IN OIL PRICES RESONATES WITH THE WEAKENING OF THE UNITED STATES DOLLAR, FACILITATING THE PERFORMANCE OF EMERGING MARKETS AND ENCRYPTED ASSETS; AT THE SAME TIME, THE ROTATION OF AI-THEMED TRANSACTIONS IN SEMICONDUCTORS, LIGHT COMMUNICATIONS, QUANTUM PANELS WILL CONTINUE, AND INSTITUTIONS WILL RECOMMEND OVER-ALIGN GROWTH-TYPE TECHNOLOGIES AND CYCLE-SENSITIVE ASSETS. ON THE WHOLE, SHORT-TERM MARKET SENTIMENT HAS BEEN RESTORED, BUT IT IS IMPORTANT TO BE VIGILANT ABOUT THE RECURRENCE OF THE NEGOTIATIONS。

DISCLAIMER: THE ABOVE IS COLLATED BY AI, MANUALLY ISSUED ONLY FOR VALIDATION AND IS NOT RECOMMENDED FOR INVESTMENT。